BEST PICTURE
Nominees:
- Call Me by Your Name
- Darkest Hour
- Dunkirk
- Get Out
- Lady Bird
- Phantom Thread
- The Post
- The Shape of Water
- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
WILL WIN: The Shape of Water
COULD WIN: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
DARK HORSE: Get Out
SHOULD WIN: Call Me by Your Name (my personal favorite)
NOTE: This is the most unsure I’ve been about Best Picture. I’ve listed the two movies that have the best chance of winning ("will win" and "could win"), but I don’t think that either of them should win. Get Outmight have a chance, and will likely be the most memorable movie this year, but my favorite was Call Me by Your Name.
COULD WIN: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
DARK HORSE: Get Out
SHOULD WIN: Call Me by Your Name (my personal favorite)
NOTE: This is the most unsure I’ve been about Best Picture. I’ve listed the two movies that have the best chance of winning ("will win" and "could win"), but I don’t think that either of them should win. Get Outmight have a chance, and will likely be the most memorable movie this year, but my favorite was Call Me by Your Name.
BEST ACTOR
Nominees:
- Daniel Day-Lewis - Phantom Thread
- Timothee Chalamet - Call Me by Your Name
- Daniel Kaluuya - Get Out
- Denzel Washington - Roman J. Israel, Esq.
- Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour
WILL WIN: Gary Oldman - Darkest Hour
COULD WIN: Timothee Chalamet - Call Me by Your Name
SHOULD WIN: Timothee Chalamet - Call Me by Your Name
BEST ACTRESS
Nominees:
- Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water
- Meryl Streep - The Post
- Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
- Margot Robbie - I, Tonya
- Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird
WILL WIN: Frances McDormand - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
COULD WIN: Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird
SHOULD WIN: Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Nominees:
- Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
- Woody Harrelson - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
- Christopher Plummer - All the Money in the World
- Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
- Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water
WILL WIN: Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
COULD WIN: Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
SHOULD WIN: Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Nominees:
- Lesley Manville - Phantom Thread
- Allison Janney - I, Tonya
- Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird
- Mary J. Blige - Mudbound
- Octavia Spencer - The Shape of Water
WILL WIN: Allison Janney - I, Tonya
COULD WIN: Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird
SHOULD WIN: Allison Janney - I, Tonya
BEST DIRECTOR:
Nominees:
- Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water
- Jordan Peele - Get Out
- Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
- Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk
- Paul Thomas Anderson - Phantom Thread
WILL WIN: Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water
COULD WIN: Jordan Peele - Get Out
SHOULD WIN: Guillermo del Toro - The Shape of Water
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Nominees:
- Guillermo del Toro & Vanessa Taylor - The Shape of Water
- Jordan Peele - Get Out
- Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
- Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani - The Big Sick
- Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
WILL WIN: Jordan Peele - Get Out
COULD WIN: Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
DARK HORSE: Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
DARK HORSE: Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
SHOULD WIN: Jordan Peele - Get Out / Greta Gerwig - Lady Bird
NOTE: This is another very difficult category, as it is possible for any of these three to win. Hell, even The Shape of Water could win here and it wouldn't be totally insane. This is usually my favorite category, as the winner is usually one of my top favorites of the year. By that standard, I choose Lady Bird or Get Out.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Nominees:
- Aaron Sorkin - Molly's Game
- James Ivory - Call Me by Your Name
- Scott Frank, James Mangold & Michael Green - Logan
- Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber - The Disaster Artist
- Dee Rees & Virgil Williams - Mudbound
WILL WIN: James Ivory - Call Me by Your Name
COULD WIN: Dee Rees & Virgil Williams - Mudbound
SHOULD WIN: James Ivory - Call Me by Your Name